Apparently, I'm passionate. Maybe not always about the right things but we're all works in progress, right?
Each evening my wife and I watch the Nightly News. It's easily my favorite time of day. Work is over, my wife is home, the dog is happy (because the wife is home) and we have the rest of the evening to ourselves. No other time in the work week is a more promising time than when I go into our DVR and select the news to watch commercial-free but debate-filled.
For many months now, this current election cycle has dominated the news (along with terrorism in general which has dominated the news for going on 15 years now). I was surprised when I logged into my blog and found that I only post around election time. Apparently I'm so passionate about politics that this is the only time of the year I actually seek out a venue to type out my thoughts regardless of having only 2 followers - thanks Claire & Jenny! My last post was written and shared on election day 2012 before we knew that Barack Obama would win a second term. It was titled why this election doesn't matter. I mostly just aired my grievances with both parties and never really came full circle but what I meant to tell you is that the election didn't matter because the two issues that were plaguing our country at the time and continue to - lobbying and term limits - weren't up for debate or on the ballot. These are two issues I'm extremely passionate about and believe must be addressed before our country can meaningfully work together to address domestic issues - both economic and social.
Our current system is making us more polarized than we've ever been and spreading lies and misinformation at an alarming rate. When a presidential candidate has an audience at a FOX debate with over 13 million people and can say that welders make more money than philosophers (which isn't true by the way) and get roaring applause (from people who watch only FOX) and then FOX doesn't ever provide the truth to those same FOX viewers afterwards - you're left with a large group of people who are fired up about lies and are now quoting them the next day at work as if they're the gospel (which I think also has a fair number of untrue items in it, but we'll save that for another time). This is an extremely small example about something trivial but indicative of the much larger issue. I said this in my last post and I'll say it again - IF YOU'RE GOING TO WATCH A PARTISAN "NEWS" PROGRAM SUCH AS MSNBC OR FOX NEWS, THEN IT'S YOUR DUTY TO WATCH THEM EQUALLY OR AT LEAST UNDERSTAND YOU'RE NOT GETTING THE FULL PICTURE BY ONLY WATCHING ONE OF THEM. Neither of them will give you a total view of reality and each them have an agenda and that agenda is NOT to be unbiased in giving you facts or educate you - it's to convince you of a viewpoint. This world is a complicated place and anyone who paints with a broad brush or speaks in sweeping generalities should be carefully questioned (ya hear me Trump?). Just this morning on FOX News I heard the argument that we shouldn't have universal background checks for guns (which over 85% of Americans think we should) because it wouldn't have prevented the shootings in San Bernardino. The line of thinking that if a piece of legislation won't fix every problem we face, then we should scrap it all together and do nothing, is extremely dangerous among other things.
Speaking of sweeping generalities - Donald J. Trump will not become president, let alone the Republican nominee. This isn't some amazing prediction, this is history. At this time in 2004, Howard Dean was the Democratic front-runner up by 8 points. In 2008, Hillary Clinton was leading by 16.3 points with Rudolph Giuliana up 5.2 points. On this day in the last cycle, Newt Gingrich was leading the pack up 12.5 points. Follow @pastfrontrunner on twitter to set you straight. Just because you're leading now in the polls, doesn't mean people will actually show up and vote for you when it counts. People are finicky creatures that occasionally absorb new information, change their minds, say one thing and do another. If Trump (the person) were a stock, I'd sell it short right now with every penny in the bank and then buy a penthouse in one of his properties this time next year. I don't know if it'll happen this week, next month, before or after the Iowa caucus - but it will happen.
Next time I'll give a few thoughts on who I think might actually become the Republican nominee (hint: it's not Ted Cruz).
Our current system is making us more polarized than we've ever been and spreading lies and misinformation at an alarming rate. When a presidential candidate has an audience at a FOX debate with over 13 million people and can say that welders make more money than philosophers (which isn't true by the way) and get roaring applause (from people who watch only FOX) and then FOX doesn't ever provide the truth to those same FOX viewers afterwards - you're left with a large group of people who are fired up about lies and are now quoting them the next day at work as if they're the gospel (which I think also has a fair number of untrue items in it, but we'll save that for another time). This is an extremely small example about something trivial but indicative of the much larger issue. I said this in my last post and I'll say it again - IF YOU'RE GOING TO WATCH A PARTISAN "NEWS" PROGRAM SUCH AS MSNBC OR FOX NEWS, THEN IT'S YOUR DUTY TO WATCH THEM EQUALLY OR AT LEAST UNDERSTAND YOU'RE NOT GETTING THE FULL PICTURE BY ONLY WATCHING ONE OF THEM. Neither of them will give you a total view of reality and each them have an agenda and that agenda is NOT to be unbiased in giving you facts or educate you - it's to convince you of a viewpoint. This world is a complicated place and anyone who paints with a broad brush or speaks in sweeping generalities should be carefully questioned (ya hear me Trump?). Just this morning on FOX News I heard the argument that we shouldn't have universal background checks for guns (which over 85% of Americans think we should) because it wouldn't have prevented the shootings in San Bernardino. The line of thinking that if a piece of legislation won't fix every problem we face, then we should scrap it all together and do nothing, is extremely dangerous among other things.
Speaking of sweeping generalities - Donald J. Trump will not become president, let alone the Republican nominee. This isn't some amazing prediction, this is history. At this time in 2004, Howard Dean was the Democratic front-runner up by 8 points. In 2008, Hillary Clinton was leading by 16.3 points with Rudolph Giuliana up 5.2 points. On this day in the last cycle, Newt Gingrich was leading the pack up 12.5 points. Follow @pastfrontrunner on twitter to set you straight. Just because you're leading now in the polls, doesn't mean people will actually show up and vote for you when it counts. People are finicky creatures that occasionally absorb new information, change their minds, say one thing and do another. If Trump (the person) were a stock, I'd sell it short right now with every penny in the bank and then buy a penthouse in one of his properties this time next year. I don't know if it'll happen this week, next month, before or after the Iowa caucus - but it will happen.
Next time I'll give a few thoughts on who I think might actually become the Republican nominee (hint: it's not Ted Cruz).

